Predictive modeling to help identify weather forecasts of opportunity for decision making and interpreting uncertainty in forecasts.
Communicating the drivers of variability in extreme weather on subseasonal timescales.
Explaining changes and trends in extreme weather risk.
I'm looking for
7 months ago
I'm interested in partnering (via support of small or large projects) on assessing risk and uncertainties from high impact weather events.
About
My expertise centers on understanding the drivers of extreme weather variability and predictability. My research led to my role as a co-lead for NOAA/CPO's Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction Task Force, the role of chair of the American Meteorological Society's Board on Enterprise Economic Development, and my membership in the National Academies Board of Atmospheric Science and Climate.
My group works on understanding the processes that allow us to forecast high-impact weather events at longer forecast lead times, identifying and categorizing the sources of uncertainty and biases in subseasonal forecasts, and assessing the risk and potential impacts in extreme weather events. My group is or has had previous collaborations with the risk/insurance, energy, and commodities sectors.
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